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Crunching decades of leadership election results suggests Labour should pick Keir Starmer

Historical analysis shows he would stand a better chance than the other candidates of leading his party to victory

By Stephen Fisher and Andreas Murr  

A coalition of the left is needed to stand up for state support in this crisis. Photo: Empics/EMPICS Entertainment

Labour is not so much engaged in a leadership race as a leadership triathlon. We’re just out of the first stage, where the hopefuls have to gather MPs to nominate them, and into the second, where they seek the backing of local parties and affiliated organisations such as trade unions. Only then do we move to the third and final stage, where the ballots are printed and sent out to members plus registered supporters and union members to…

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